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Erişime Açık

Forecasting of solar radiation using different machine learning approaches

DEMİR, Vahdettin | ÇITAKOĞLU, Hatice

In this study, monthly solar radiation (SR) estimation was performed using five different machine learning-based approaches. The models used are support vector machine regression (SVMR), long short-term memory (LSTM), Gaussian process regression (GPR), extreme learning machines (ELM) and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). Modeling of these approaches was carried out in two stages. In the first stage, VIF analysis was carried out to develop the model. Thus, the input parameters that decrease the performance of the model are removed. In the second stage, remaining input parameters such as meteorological ...Daha fazlası

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Trend analysis of lakes and sinkholes in the Konya Closed Basin, in Turkey

DEMİR, Vahdettin

This study aims to investigate the trend of water-level changes in lakes (Lake Tuz and Lake Beyşehir) and sinkholes (Timraş and Kızören) in the Konya Closed Basin located in Turkey. Water-level changes in these lakes and sinkholes were investigated along with changes in meteorological parameters (precipitation, temperature, and evaporation) and groundwater trends that indicate the climate in the region. Several statistical tests can be used to determine the signifcance of hydrological trends over time. These tests are divided into two categories: parametric and nonparametric. In this study, th ...Daha fazlası

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Developing numerical equality to regional intensity–duration–frequency curves using evolutionary algorithms and multi‑gene genetic programming

ÇITAKOĞLU, Hatice | DEMİR, Vahdettin

This study aims to carry out regional intensity−duration−frequency (IDF) equality using the relationship with IDF obtained from point frequency analysis. Eleven empirical equations used in the literature for seven climate regions of Turkey were calibrated using particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithm (GA) optimization techniques and the obtained results were compared. In addition, in this study, new regional IDF equations were obtained for each region utilizing MultiGene Genetic Programming (MGGP) method. Finally, Kruskal–Wallis (KW) test was applied to the IDF values obtained ...Daha fazlası

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Neurocomputing intelligence models for lakes water level forecasting: a comprehensive review

DEMİR, Vahdettin | YASEEN, Zaher Mundher

Hydrological processes forecasting is an essential step for better water management and sustainability. Among several hydrological processes, lake water level (LWL) forecasting is one of the significant processes within a particular catchment. The complexity of the LWL fluctuation is owing to the diversity of the influential parameters including climate, hydrology and some other morphology. In this study, several versions of neurocomputing intelligence models are developed for LWL fluctuation forecasting at five great lakes Lake Superior, Lake Michigan, Lake Huron, Lake Erie, and Lake Ontario, ...Daha fazlası

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Enhancing monthly lake levels forecasting using heuristic regression techniques with periodicity data component: application of Lake Michigan

DEMİR, Vahdettin

This study investigates the accuracy of three diferent techniques with the periodicity component for estimating monthly lake levels. The three techniques are multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), least-square support vector regression (LSSVR), and M5 model tree (M5-tree). Data from Lake Michigan, located in the USA, is used in the analysis. In the frst stage of modeling, three techniques were applied to forecast monthly lake level fuctuations up to 8 months ahead of time intervals. In the second stage, the infuence of the periodicity component was applied (month number of the year, ...Daha fazlası

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