CDS, OVX VE VIX ENDEKSLERİNİN BRICS VE MIST ÜLKE BORSA ENDEKSLERİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİLERİNİN KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ

Abstract

Stock markets have been significantly affected by financial crises in all World economies in recent years, the pandemic and risks of contamination arising from derivative markets. Investors have also begun to pay more attention to how financial markets change their behavior over time to better manage their investment risks and to perform in line with market criteria. For this reason, different indices measuring volatility in financial markets have begun to be derived in recent years. The most well-known of these indices is the VIX Index, which was issued by the Chicago Board Exchange (CBOE) in 1993. The VIX Index is used to measure the implied volatility of the market. In general, the VIX Index is known as the ’fear index’ because it is an index that measures the degree of uncertainty and fear in the markets.The Oil Volatility Index (OVX), also published by CBOE since 2007, measures the expected 30-day volatility in oil prices. Oil is undoubtedly one of the most important commodities of global markets. Increases and decreases in crude oil prices are among the financial indicators most followed by investors. Credit Default Swaps (CDS), another risk indicator dating back to the 1990s, started to draw attention as an important indicator that gives direct information about the reference institution. However, it has become a controversial issue whether it is efficient in terms of information with the recent global crisis.In this study, the common behavior of CDS, VIX, OVX and stock markets is investigated by focusing on BRICS and MIST. Our sampling period spans from December 2010- June 2021 and Panel Data Analysis Method is applied in order to see the effects of the CDS, VIX and OVX indices on the stock market indices of 9 countries as two separate groups (BRICS and MIST). Our empirical analysis finds that the effects of CDS, VIX and OVX Index differ in BRICS and MIST countries. In addition, it has been determined that the index with the most impact on stock market indices is OVX Index, and the indicator with the least impact is CDS. Other findings related to the study are given and interpreted in the conclusion section.